Kumamoto Earthquakes 2016

MAG 7 (USGS)UTC 2016-04-15 16:25DEPTH 10 kmLOC 32.79, 130.75USGS us20005iis ↗

PORTFOLIO: SYNTHETIC DEMONSTRATION DATA

CLAIMS 26 (0 confirmed, 26 reported)1 claim rejected: contains a figure ARGUS never displaysAFFECTED FACILITIES 5LLM: none (cache only)REPLAY2/2 · to 2016-04-20ASSUME DISRUPTION PERSISTS

Physical impact · coordinates approx

● epicenter (USGS)

● affected facility (claim-backed, approx)

○ DIRECT — covered by existing catastrophe tools (SYNTHETIC)

Mitsubishi Motors: location UNKNOWN

ECONOMIC BLAST RADIUS

Physical impact ends here. Economic exposure doesn't.

Evidence status

CONFIRMEDREPORTED━ VERIFIED LINK┄ INFERREDSYNTHETIC? UNKNOWN

event

Kumamoto Earthquakes 2016

M7 · USGS

facility

Aisin Kumamoto

affected · 4 claim(s)

facility

Renesas Kawajiri

affected · 2 claim(s)

company

Mitsubishi Motors

affected · 2 claim(s)

facility

Nissan Kyushu

RECOVERING · 2 claim(s)

facility

Toyota Kyushu (Miyata)

affected · 4 claim(s)

SYNTHETIC · account

Lakeshore Drivetrain Supply

MONITOR

SYNTHETIC · account

Voltaic Mobility

MONITOR

SYNTHETIC · account

Brightline Robotics

MONITOR

SYNTHETIC · account

Harborline Auto Logistics

MONITOR

SYNTHETIC · account

Kyushu Precision Warehousing

MONITOR

DIRECT — covered by existing catastrophe tools

SYNTHETIC · account

Prairie Home Goods

NO ACTION

SYNTHETIC · account

Cascade Sensor Systems

NO ACTION

SYNTHETIC · account

Northfield Imaging

NO ACTION

SYNTHETIC · account

Keystone Fab Services

NO ACTION

SYNTHETIC · account

Ridgeway Powersports

NO ACTION

SYNTHETIC · account

Lone Star Moto Distribution

NO ACTION

SYNTHETIC · account

Pacific Crest Auto Distributors

NO ACTION

SYNTHETIC · account

Northwind Electronics

NO ACTION

Lines: ━ VERIFIED LINK · ━ SYNTHETIC · ┄ INFERREDNode ring = priority tier

ACTIVITY · tiers recompute on every new source, replay step or assumption

saved✓ S&P Global / IHS AutoTechInsight (2016-04-20): 12 claims verified

saved✕ S&P Global / IHS AutoTechInsight (2016-04-20): 14 claims verified, 1 rejected

saved· USGS us20005iis: M7 Kumamoto earthquakes (tier 1 source)

REVIEW NOW0

MONITOR5

NO ACTION8

TIER RULES · deterministic

REVIEW NOW: Path to an affected facility with a CONFIRMED claim AND account dependency is critical AND alternate supplier is not known.
MONITOR: Any other path to an affected facility, or insured location inside the event region (direct).
NO ACTION: No dependency path to any affected facility and no direct exposure.
RESOLVED / RECOVERING: De-escalation: each plant's status follows its claims in publication order and only moves forward, DISRUPTED → RECOVERING → RECOVERED. RECOVERING = a verified claim of a past-tense resumption (partial, or full but not yet CONFIRMED). RECOVERED = a CONFIRMED claim (tier 1–2 source or 2+ independent publishers) of a past-tense full restoration. Planned or expected restarts never change status. RECOVERING caps REVIEW NOW at MONITOR. RECOVERED: the path no longer counts as affected and the account is shown as RESOLVED.

Select an account to see why it was flagged, the evidence, and what is unknown.

Event brief · every sentence cited

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Exposure by affected plant · live

Renesas KawajiriREPORTED only · 2 claims

Aisin KumamotoREPORTED only · 4 claims

Toyota Kyushu (Miyata)REPORTED only · 4 claims

Mitsubishi MotorsREPORTED only · 2 claims

No SYNTHETIC account depends on this plant.

Nissan KyushuRECOVERING (C61) · REPORTED only · 2 claims

No SYNTHETIC account depends on this plant.

Counts of dependency paths only. No loss, duration or probability estimates.